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Sergio - Eastern Pacific
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Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 1000 PM CDT Sat Sep 29 2018 ...SERGIO GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING WELL SOUTH OF THE COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.3N 103.3W ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 103.3 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general motion is expected for the next couple of days with a turn toward the west-northwest possible on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and Sergio could become a hurricane by Monday and a major hurricane on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 400 AM CDT Sun Sep 30 2018 ...SERGIO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN WELL OFFSHORE THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.0N 104.3W ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 12.0 North, longitude 104.3 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected for the next couple of days with a turn toward the west-northwest possible on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and Sergio is expected to become a hurricane by tonight and be near major hurricane strength on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 1000 AM CDT Sun Sep 30 2018 ...SERGIO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN WELL OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.1N 105.4W ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 12.1 North, longitude 105.4 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected for the next couple of days with a turn toward the west-northwest expected on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Sergio is expected to become a hurricane by tonight and a major hurricane on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 900 PM MDT Sun Sep 30 2018 ...SERGIO MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC WATERS AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATE TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.6N 107.3W ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 11.6 North, longitude 107.3 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected through Monday night. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Sergio is expected to become a hurricane late tonight or on Monday and a major hurricane by Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 300 AM MDT Mon Oct 01 2018 ...SERGIO STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC OCEAN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.5N 108.6W ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 790 MI...1275 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 11.5 North, longitude 108.6 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue through tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Sergio is expected to become a hurricane later today, and a major hurricane by Wednesday morning. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 900 AM MDT Mon Oct 01 2018 ...SERGIO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.5N 109.5W ABOUT 625 MI...1000 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 790 MI...1265 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 11.5 North, longitude 109.5 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue through tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Sergio is forecast to become a hurricane later today, and a major hurricane by Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 900 PM MDT Mon Oct 01 2018 ...SERGIO BECOMES A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.9N 112.0W ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 840 MI...1350 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 10.9 North, longitude 112.0 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue through tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday and a northwestward motion is forecast on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 900 AM MDT Tue Oct 02 2018 ...SERGIO STILL STRENGTHENING... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.6N 114.0W ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 10.6 North, longitude 114.0 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected later today, and a northwestward motion is forecast on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and Sergio is forecast to be near major hurricane strength by Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 PM PDT Tue Oct 02 2018 ...SERGIO TURNS TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS A MAJOR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.8N 115.8W ABOUT 860 MI...1385 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 11.8 North, longitude 115.8 West. Sergio is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A west- northwestward to northwestward motion is anticipated over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, with weakening expected to begin on Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 AM PDT Wed Oct 03 2018 ...SERGIO STRENGTHENS SOME MORE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.9N 117.3W ABOUT 845 MI...1360 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 117.3 West. Sergio is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Thursday, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest with a decrease in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, with weakening expected to begin by Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 PM PDT Wed Oct 03 2018 ...SERGIO BECOMES THE EIGHTH CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE OF THE SEASON... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 118.3W ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 118.3 West. Sergio is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Thursday, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest and west with a decrease in forward speed on Friday and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast on Thursday and some weakening could begin on Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb (28.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 200 AM PDT Thu Oct 04 2018 ...SERGIO A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.4N 118.8W ABOUT 825 MI...1330 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 14.4 North, longitude 118.8 West. Sergio is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the west-northwest and west at a slightly slower forward speed is expected Friday and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected during the next day or so, but gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 943 mb (27.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 AM PDT Thu Oct 04 2018 ...STEADY-STATE SERGIO SWIRLING OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.0N 119.3W ABOUT 820 MI...1320 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 119.3 West. Sergio is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the west-northwest and west at a slightly slower forward speed is expected Friday and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected during the next day or so, but gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 943 mb (27.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 200 PM PDT Thu Oct 04 2018 ...SERGIO REMAINS A POWERFUL CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 119.9W ABOUT 830 MI...1330 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 119.9 West. Sergio is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A slower motion toward the west-northwest and then toward the west is expected on Friday and over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days, but Sergio is expected to remain a hurricane through the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 947 mb (27.97 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 PM PDT Thu Oct 04 2018 ...SERGIO MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 120.5W ABOUT 840 MI...1355 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 120.5 West. Sergio is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the west- northwest is forecast tonight, followed by a westward to west- southwestward motion on Friday and Saturday. A turn back toward the west-northwest is forecast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Weakening is forecast through the weekend, but Sergio is expected to remain a hurricane through Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 951 mb (28.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 AM PDT Fri Oct 05 2018 ...SERGIO MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN EASTERN PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 121.8W ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 121.8 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the west-southwest is expected Saturday followed by a turn back to the west on Sunday. Afterward, Sergio is forecast to turn toward the northwest and north-northwest early next week. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional slow weakening is forecast during the next several days, but Sergio is expected to remain a hurricane through the middle of next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 959 mb (28.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 27 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 PM PDT Fri Oct 05 2018 ...SERGIO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC OCEAN... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 122.7W ABOUT 985 MI...1585 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of the large eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 122.7 West. Sergio is moving toward the southwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue tonight. A motion toward the west-southwest and west is forecast to begin Saturday morning and continue through Saturday night. A motion toward the north is expected on Sunday, followed by a gradual turn toward the northeast on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected through Saturday, followed by a slow weakening trend on Sunday and Monday. However, Sergio is forecast to remain a hurricane during the next few days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 951 mb (28.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 200 AM PDT Sat Oct 06 2018 ...SERGIO SIDEWINDING OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 123.5W ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 123.5 West. Sergio is moving toward the southwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). The hurricane is forecast to slow down and make a sharp northeastward turn over the weekend into early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Slow weakening is forecast during the next several days, but Sergio is expected to remain a hurricane through the first half of next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 951 mb (28.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 200 PM PDT Sat Oct 06 2018 ...SERGIO EXPECTED TO MAKE A U-TURN EARLY NEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.6N 124.7W ABOUT 1125 MI...1810 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 124.7 West. Sergio is moving toward the west-southwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). The hurricane is forecast to slow down and make a sharp northeastward turn by early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected tonight, with slow weakening possible by Sunday night and Monday. However, Sergio is forecast to remain a hurricane through the first half of next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 31 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 PM PDT Sat Oct 06 2018 ...SERGIO LUMBERING ALONG WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC... ...EXPECTED TO TURN SHARPLY NORTHEASTWARD ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.5N 125.4W ABOUT 1165 MI...1875 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 125.4 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Sunday. The hurricane is forecast to slow down and make a sharp northeastward turn on Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Slow weakening is expected during the next few days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 32 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 07 2018 ...SERGIO STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO MAKE A SHARP NORTHEASTWARD TURN ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.6N 126.1W ABOUT 1205 MI...1935 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 126.1 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue today. The hurricane is forecast to slow down and make a sharp northeastward turn on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Slow weakening is forecast during the next few days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 34...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 200 PM PDT Sun Oct 07 2018 Corrected to change a word in the headline ...LARGE EYE OF SERGIO SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 127.5W ABOUT 1280 MI...2060 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the large eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 127.5 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). Sergio is expected to slow down and turn northward by tonight, and then turn northeastward on Monday. A faster northeastward motion is anticipated by Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is expected over the next few days, but Sergio is forecast to remain a hurricane into mid-week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 35 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 PM PDT Sun Oct 07 2018 ...SERGIO BARELY MOVING BUT FORECAST TO RECURVE NORTHEASTWARD MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 127.9W ABOUT 1295 MI...2090 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the large eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 127.9 West. Sergio is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Monday. A turn to the northeast is anticipated by Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 2 to 3 days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 200 AM PDT Mon Oct 08 2018 ...SERGIO FORECAST TO TURN SHARPLY NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 128.1W ABOUT 1300 MI...2090 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 128.1 West. Sergio is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn to the northeast is expected tonight, and that motion with an increase in forward speed is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next few days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula by Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 37 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 AM PDT Mon Oct 08 2018 ...GIANT EYE OF SERGIO DRIFTING SLOWLY OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 128.6W ABOUT 1325 MI...2135 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 128.6 West. Sergio is moving toward the north-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A slow northward or northeastward drift is expected today and tonight, followed by an acceleration toward the northeast beginning tomorrow. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated during the next several days, and Sergio is forecast to become a tropical storm by Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula by Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 39 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 PM PDT Mon Oct 08 2018 ...SERGIO EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD SOON... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.0N 128.6W ABOUT 1305 MI...2100 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 128.6 West. Sergio is moving toward the north near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow turn toward the northeast is expected tonight, and this general motion should continue during the next several days with an increase in forward speed commencing on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated during the next several days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula by Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 41 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 AM PDT Tue Oct 09 2018 ...SERGIO SLOWLY WEAKENING AND MOVING FASTER NORTHEASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 127.4W ABOUT 1215 MI...1960 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of Sergio. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 127.4 West. Sergio is moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is expected for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated during the next several days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula by Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number 43 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 PM PDT Tue Oct 09 2018 ...SERGIO ACCELERATING TOWARD THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 125.6W ABOUT 1085 MI...1740 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of Sergio. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 125.6 West. Sergio is moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). An east- northeastward to northeastward motion with a further increase in forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Sergio will approach the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Sunday, heavy rainfall with Sergio is expected to lead to storm total accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with local amounts to 10 inches in northern Baja California Sur and Sonora in Mexico and well as the Southern Plains and the Ozarks of the United States. This could lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Intermediate Advisory Number 44A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 500 AM PDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...FLOODING RAINS FROM SERGIO EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OF THE UNITED STATES OVER THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 124.1W ABOUT 990 MI...1590 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Bahia San Juan Bautista to San Evaristo A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the northern and central Baja California peninsula and northwestern Sonora should monitor the progress of Sergio. Additional watches or warnings may be required on Thursday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM PDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 124.1 West. Sergio is moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). An east- northeastward to northeastward motion with a further increase in forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Sergio will approach the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur early Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Sunday, heavy rainfall with Sergio is expected to lead to storm total accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with local amounts to 10 inches in northern Baja California Sur and Sonora in Mexico and well as the Southern Plains and the Ozarks of the United States. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Intermediate Advisory Number 45A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OF THE UNITED STATES OVER THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.6N 123.0W ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Bahia San Juan Bautista to San Evaristo A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the northern and central Baja California peninsula and northwestern Sonora should monitor the progress of Sergio. Additional watches or warnings may be required on later tonight or Thursday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM PDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 123.0 West. Sergio is moving toward the northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). A northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Sergio will approach the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur early Friday and then reach mainland Mexico late Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely today, but gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Sergio is expected to produce total storm rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with local amounts of 10 inches across the central portion of the Baja California peninsula and Sonora. This could lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain. By this weekend, heavy rainfall associated with Sergio will move into portions of the Southern Plains and the Ozarks of the United States. Storm total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Intermediate Advisory Number 47A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 1100 PM PDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...SERGIO EXPECTED TO CAUSE HEAVY RAINS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OF THE UNITED STATES OVER THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 120.9W ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Bahia San Juan Bautista to San Evaristo A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests elsewhere in the northern and central Baja California peninsula and northwestern Sonora should monitor the progress of Sergio. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM PDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 120.9 West. Sergio is moving toward the northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Sergio will approach the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur early Friday and then reach mainland Mexico late Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast through Thursday, but gradual weakening is anticipated during the next several days. Sergio is forecast to reach the central Baja California peninsula as a tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Sergio is expected to produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with local amounts of 10 inches across the central peninsula of Baja California and Sonora through Friday. This could lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain. By this weekend, rainfall associated with Sergio will move into portions of the Southern Plains and the Ozarks, with storm total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. WIND: Tropical storm conditions could begin within the watch areas Thursday night. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Intermediate Advisory Number 49A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...SERGIO EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.5N 117.6W ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro * East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area in this case within the next 12 to 18 hours. Interests elsewhere in the northern and central Baja California peninsula and northwestern Sonora should monitor the progress of Sergio. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM PDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 118.7 West. Sergio has increased its forward speed and is now moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h). This track with a continued increase in forward speed is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Sergio will be near the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur tonight or early Friday and then move over mainland Mexico by Friday evening. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast this afternoon, but Sergio will soon be over cooler water and gradual weakening should then begin. Sergio is still forecast to reach the central Baja California peninsula as a tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Sergio is expected to produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches across the central peninsula of Baja California and Sonora through Friday. This could lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain. By this weekend, rainfall associated with Sergio will move into portions of the Southern Plains and the Ozarks, with storm total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches and possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches. This rainfall could lead to flash flooding, particularly in the Southern Plains. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the western coast of the Baja California peninsula by tonight and will spread to the east coast of the peninsula tonight or early Friday. These conditions could reach the coast of mainland Mexico late Friday. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Intermediate Advisory Number 51A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...OUTER RAINBANDS SPREADING OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND THE NORTHWESTERN MEXICO STATE OF SONORA COAST... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.3N 114.8W ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM WNW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM SW OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro * East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in the northern and central Baja California peninsula and northwestern Sonora should monitor the progress of Sergio. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM PDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 25.3 North, longitude 114.8 West. Sergio is moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Sergio will be near the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur early Friday and then move over mainland northwestern Mexico by Friday evening. Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening should begin later tonight, but Sergio is still forecast to reach the central Baja California peninsula as a tropical storm, then weaken to a tropical depression before reaching Sonora. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Sergio is expected to produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches across the central peninsula of Baja California and Sonora through Friday. This could lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain. Storm total accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts to 6 inches, are expected across the southern Plains and Arkansas from this weekend into Monday. This rainfall could cause life- threatening flash flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the western coast of the Baja California peninsula later tonight, and these conditions will spread to the east coast of the peninsula tonight or early Friday. Gusty winds could reach the coast of mainland Mexico late Friday. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will affect much of the Baja California peninsula for the next day or two, likely causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number 53...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 900 AM MDT Fri Oct 12 2018 Corrected to add the word hours in the first paragraph of Discussion and Outlook ...SERGIO ENTERING THE SEA OF CORTEZ... ...STRONG GUSTY WINDS STILL OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INCREASING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.5N 111.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ENE OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM WSW OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro * East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista The Tropical Storm Warning will likely be discontinued later today. Interests in the state of Sonora should monitor the progress of Sergio. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 27.5 North, longitude 111.9 West. Sergio is moving toward the northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Sergio will move across the Sea of Cortez during the next several hours and then move over northwestern Mexico later today or tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio should weaken to a tropical depression later today, and degenerate into a remnant low while moving over northwestern Mexico. Dissipation should occur on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. A Mexican Navy automatic weather station in the Port of Santa Rosalia measured a wind gust to 60 mph (97 km/h) as Sergio passed nearby. Guaymas, on the west coast of mainland Mexico, recently reported a wind gust to 52 mph (83 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Sergio is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches over Sonora and the central peninsula of Baja California through today. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides in mountainous terrain. Moisture from Sergio will affect the United States, with total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches from southeast Arizona and southern New Mexico toward the southern Plains through Saturday. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occuring in the warning area of the Baja California peninsula, and these conditions will spread northeastward this morning. Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are already reaching the coast of mainland Mexico. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will affect much of the Baja California peninsula today, likely causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT. Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024032.png |
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