BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP232018
1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 21 2018
...VICENTE AND ITS REMNANTS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...13.9N 98.7W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Vicente.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
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At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 98.7 West. Vicente is
moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A west-northwestward
turn is expected early Monday, followed by a turn toward the
northwest by late Monday. A northwestward to north-northwestward
motion is forecast on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of
Vicente is expected to approach the southwestern coast of Mexico
on Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast, and Vicente is expected to become a
tropical depression by Monday night or Tuesday. Vicente's
circulation is expected to dissipate near the southwestern coast of
Mexico by Wednesday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL: Vicente or its remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through Wednesday
over portions of Guerrero, Michoaca, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico.
This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/023539.png