Go Back   Shipping History > Shipping Discussion > Weather Watch

Willa - Eastern Pacific

Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools
  #1  
Old 22nd October 2018, 08:18
pompeyfan's Avatar
pompeyfan United Kingdom pompeyfan is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Apr 2017
Location: Isle of Wight
Posts: 1,224
Images: 110
Lightbulb Willa - Eastern Pacific

BULLETIN
Hurricane Willa Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP242018
1200 AM MDT Mon Oct 22 2018

...WILLA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES TO NEAR-CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH...
...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, WIND, AND
RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 107.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...931 MB...27.49 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* San Blas to Mazatlan, including Las Islas Marias

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Playa Perula to San Blas
* North of Mazatlan to Bahia Tempehuaya

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the coasts of west-central and
southwestern mainland Mexico should monitor the progress of Willa.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Willa was located
near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 107.1 West. Willa is moving
toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is
expected to continue today. Willa is forecast to accelerate toward
the north-northeast and move over or very near the Islas Marias on
Tuesday and make landfall along the southwestern coast of mainland
Mexico in the hurricane warning area Tuesday night or Wednesday
morning.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 155 mph (250 km/h)
with higher gusts. Willa is an extremely dangerous category 4
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional
strengthening is expected today, and Willa could become a category
5 hurricane later this morning. While some weakening is forecast by
tonight and Tuesday, Willa is expected to be a dangerous hurricane
when it reaches the coast of Mexico late Tuesday or early Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90
miles (150 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 931 mb (27.49 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely along portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico by Tuesday or Tuesday night,
especially near and to the south of where the center of Willa makes
landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Willa is expected to produce storm total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with local amounts to 18 inches,
across portions of western Jalisco, western Nayarit, and southern
Sinaloa in Mexico. This rainfall will cause life-threatening flash
flooding and landslides.

Farther inland, Willa is expected to produce rainfall amount of 2 to
4 inches across portions of Zacateca, Durango, southeast Chihuahua,
and Coahuila in Mexico, with local amounts to 6 inches possible.
This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area by late Tuesday, with tropical storm conditions
expected by Tuesday morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected
within the tropical storm warning areas tonight and Tuesday.

SURF: Large swells generated by Willa will continue to affect
portions of the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico
during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/054029.png
__________________
David
  #2  
Old 22nd October 2018, 21:53
pompeyfan's Avatar
pompeyfan United Kingdom pompeyfan is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Apr 2017
Location: Isle of Wight
Posts: 1,224
Images: 110
BULLETIN
Hurricane Willa Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP242018
300 PM MDT Mon Oct 22 2018

...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILLA CONTINUES NORTHWARD...
...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, WIND, AND
RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 107.2W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SSW OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...929 MB...27.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* San Blas to Mazatlan, including Las Islas Marias

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Playa Perula to San Blas
* North of Mazatlan to Bahia Tempehuaya

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere along the coasts of west-central and
southwestern mainland Mexico should monitor the progress of Willa.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Willa was located
near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 107.2 West. Willa is moving
toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion
should continue tonight. Willa is forecast to accelerate toward the
north-northeast and move over or very near the Islas Marias early
Tuesday and make landfall along the west-central coast of mainland
Mexico in the hurricane warning area Tuesday afternoon or evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher
gusts. Willa is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening is forecast during the
next day or so, but Willa is expected to be a dangerous major
hurricane when it reaches the coast of Mexico. Rapid weakening is
expected after landfall Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 929 mb (27.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: An extremely dangerous storm surge is likely along
portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico, especially near
and to the south of where the center of Willa makes landfall.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Willa is expected to produce storm total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with local amounts to 18 inches,
across portions of western Jalisco, western Nayarit, and southern
Sinaloa in Mexico. This rainfall will cause life-threatening flash
flooding and landslides.

Farther inland, Willa is expected to produce rainfall amount of 2 to
4 inches across portions of Zacateca, Durango, southeast Chihuahua,
and Coahuila in Mexico, with local amounts to 6 inches possible.
This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area beginning Tuesday afternoon, with tropical storm
conditions expected by early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions
are expected within the tropical storm warning areas by tonight
and Tuesday.

SURF: Large swells generated by Willa will continue to affect
portions of the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico
during the next few days. Swells should begin to affect portions
of the coast of the southern Baja California peninsula later today.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/054029.png
__________________
David
  #3  
Old 23rd October 2018, 08:18
pompeyfan's Avatar
pompeyfan United Kingdom pompeyfan is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Apr 2017
Location: Isle of Wight
Posts: 1,224
Images: 110
BULLETIN
Hurricane Willa Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP242018
1200 AM MDT Tue Oct 23 2018

...DANGEROUS WILLA EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE,
WIND, AND RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 107.3W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SW OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSW OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...225 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* San Blas to Mazatlan, including Las Islas Marias

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Playa Perula to San Blas
* North of Mazatlan to Bahia Tempehuaya

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere along the coasts of west-central and
southwestern mainland Mexico should monitor the progress of Willa.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Willa was located
near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 107.3 West. Willa is moving
toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the north-
northeast is expected later this morning, followed by a faster
motion toward the northeast by this evening. On the forecast track,
the center of Willa will move near or over Las Islas Marias later
this morning and afternoon and make landfall within the hurricane
warning area along the west-central coast of mainland Mexico later
afternoon or this evening.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 140 mph (225 km/h)
with higher gusts. Willa is an extremely dangerous category 4
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. While gradual
weakening is forecast today, Willa is expected to be a dangerous
major hurricane when it reaches the coast of Mexico. Rapid weakening
is expected after landfall tonight and Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125
miles (205 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 942 mb (27.82 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: An extremely dangerous storm surge is likely along
portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico in southern Sinaloa
and Nayarit, especially near and to the south of where the center of
Willa makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied
by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Willa is expected to produce storm total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with local amounts to 18 inches,
across portions of western Jalisco, western Nayarit, southern
Sinaloa, and far southern Durango in Mexico. This rainfall will
cause life-threatening flash flooding and landslides.

Farther inland, Willa is expected to produce rainfall amount of 2 to
4 inches across the rest of Durango and portions of Zacateca,
southeast Chihuahua, and Coahuila, with local amounts to 6 inches
possible. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area beginning this afternoon, with tropical storm
conditions expected later this morning. Tropical storm conditions
are expected within the tropical storm warning areas this morning
and continuing into this afternoon.

SURF: Large swells generated by Willa will continue to affect
portions of the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico
during the next few days. Swells should begin to affect portions
of the coast of the southern Baja California peninsula later today.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/054029.png
__________________
David
  #4  
Old 23rd October 2018, 17:30
pompeyfan's Avatar
pompeyfan United Kingdom pompeyfan is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Apr 2017
Location: Isle of Wight
Posts: 1,224
Images: 110
BULLETIN
Hurricane Willa Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP242018
900 AM MDT Tue Oct 23 2018

...AIRCRAFT FINDS THE CORE OF WILLA PASSING OVER LAS ISLAS MARIAS
MEXICO...
...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, WIND, AND
RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.4N 106.9W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM WSW OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSW OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* San Blas to Mazatlan, including Las Islas Marias

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Playa Perula to San Blas
* North of Mazatlan to Bahia Tempehuaya

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere along the coasts of west-central and
southwestern mainland Mexico should monitor the progress of Willa.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Willa was located
near latitude 21.4 North, longitude 106.9 West. Willa is moving
toward the north-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h). A faster motion
toward the northeast is expected by this evening. On the forecast
track, the center of Willa will move over Las Islas Marias within
the next few hours, and make landfall within the hurricane warning
area along the west-central coast of mainland Mexico this evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher
gusts. Willa is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. While gradual weakening is forecast today,
Willa is expected to be a dangerous hurricane when it reaches the
coast of Mexico. Rapid weakening is expected after landfall tonight
and continuing into Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is 966 mb (28.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: An extremely dangerous storm surge is likely along
portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico in southern Sinaloa
and Nayarit, especially near and to the south of where the center of
Willa makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied
by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Willa is expected to produce storm total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with local amounts to 18 inches,
across portions of western Jalisco, western Nayarit, southern
Sinaloa, and far southern Durango in Mexico. This rainfall will
cause life-threatening flash flooding and landslides.

Farther inland, Willa is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1
to 3 inches across the rest of Durango and portions of Zacateca,
southeast Chihuahua, and Coahuila, with local amounts to 5 inches
possible.

WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue over Las Islas Maria
today, and will spread into the hurricane warning area along
the coast of mainland Mexico this afternoon. Tropical storm
conditions are occurring on Las Islas Marias, and will continue to
spread northward along the coast of mainland Mexico within the
warning area today.

SURF: Large swells generated by Willa will continue to affect
portions of the coast of southwestern and west-central mainland
Mexico, and the coast of the southern Baja California peninsula
Swells during the next day or two. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/054029.png
__________________
David
  #5  
Old 23rd October 2018, 22:04
pompeyfan's Avatar
pompeyfan United Kingdom pompeyfan is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Apr 2017
Location: Isle of Wight
Posts: 1,224
Images: 110
BULLETIN
Hurricane Willa Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP242018
300 PM MDT Tue Oct 23 2018

...EYE OF WILLA APPROACHING THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, WIND, AND RAINFALL SPREADING
ONSHORE...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 106.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM S OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM N OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* San Blas to Mazatlan, including Las Islas Marias

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Playa Perula to San Blas
* North of Mazatlan to Bahia Tempehuaya

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.


For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Willa was located
near latitude 22.2 North, longitude 106.4 West. Willa is moving
toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h). A faster motion
toward the northeast is expected tonight. On the forecast track,
the center of Willa will approach the coast of west-central
Mexico this afternoon, and make landfall within the hurricane
warning area along the west-central coast of mainland Mexico early
this evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
gusts. Willa is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected before
Willa reaches the coast of Mexico. Rapid weakening is expected
after landfall and Willa is expected to dissipate over northern
Mexico on Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km). An automated observing site on Las Islas Marias recently
reported a sustained wind of 88 mph (142 km/h) with a gust to 112
mph (180 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: An extremely dangerous storm surge is occurring along
portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico in southern Sinaloa
and Nayarit, with the highest surge likely to occur near and to the
south of where the center of Willa makes landfall. Near the coast,
the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Willa is expected to produce storm total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with local amounts to 18 inches,
across portions of western Jalisco, western Nayarit, southern
Sinaloa, and far southern Durango in Mexico. This rainfall will
cause life-threatening flash flooding and landslides.

Farther inland, Willa is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1
to 3 inches across the rest of Durango and portions of Zacateca,
southeast Chihuahua, and Coahuila, with local amounts to 5 inches
possible.

WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue over Las Islas Marias for
a few more hours, and will continue to spread into the hurricane
warning area along the coast of mainland Mexico this evening.
Tropical storm conditions will continue along the coast of mainland
Mexico within the warning area through tonight.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds
indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be
even greater.

SURF: Large swells generated by Willa will continue to affect
portions of the coast of southwestern and west-central mainland
Mexico, and the coast of the southern Baja California peninsula
during the next day or two. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/054029.png
__________________
David
  #6  
Old 24th October 2018, 07:28
pompeyfan's Avatar
pompeyfan United Kingdom pompeyfan is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Apr 2017
Location: Isle of Wight
Posts: 1,224
Images: 110
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Willa Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP242018
100 AM CDT Wed Oct 24 2018

...WILLA RAPIDLY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM INLAND NEAR DURANGO...
...TORRENTIAL RAINS TO CONTINUE OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 104.6W
ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM SE OF DURANGO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued all coastal tropical
cyclone warnings for Mexico.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Willa was
located inland Mexico near latitude 23.8 North, longitude 104.6
West. Willa is moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (32 km/h),
and this motion is expected to continue during the next 12 hours.
The forecast track will continue to bring Wilma farther inland over
west-central Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts. Continued rapid weakening is forecast during the
next 12 hours, and Willa is expected to dissipate by this afternoon.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly near and to the southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.23 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: Storm surge levels along portions of the coast of
southwestern Mexico in southern Sinaloa and Nayarit will gradually
subside today. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by
large waves and rough surf conditions.

RAINFALL: Willa is expected to produce storm total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with local amounts to 18 inches,
across portions of western Jalisco, western Nayarit, southern
Sinaloa, and far southern Durango in Mexico. This rainfall will
cause life-threatening flash flooding and landslides.

Farther inland, Willa is expected to produce rainfall amounts of
1 to 3 inches across the rest of Durango and portions of Zacateca,
southeast Chihuahua, and Coahuila, with local amounts to 5 inches
possible.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue inland across
portions of west-central mainland Mexico this morning.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds
indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be
even greater.

SURF: Large swells generated by Willa will continue to affect
portions of the coast of southwestern and west-central mainland
Mexico, and the coast of the southern Baja California peninsula
during the next day or two. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/054029.png
__________________
David
  #7  
Old 24th October 2018, 19:00
pompeyfan's Avatar
pompeyfan United Kingdom pompeyfan is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Apr 2017
Location: Isle of Wight
Posts: 1,224
Images: 110
Final Warning

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Willa Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP242018
1000 AM CDT Wed Oct 24 2018

...WILLA DISSIPATES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 101.5W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF MONTERREY MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Willa were located near
latitude 25.5 North, longitude 101.5 West. The remnants are moving
toward the northeast near 28 mph (44 km/h,) and this general motion
is expected to continue today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 25 mph (35 km/h)
with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/054029.png
__________________
David
Closed Thread


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Vicente - Eastern Pacific pompeyfan Weather Watch 3 23rd October 2018 17:22
Rosa - Eastern Pacific pompeyfan Weather Watch 12 2nd October 2018 07:29
Fabio - Eastern Pacific pompeyfan Weather Watch 12 6th July 2018 16:47
Emilia - Eastern Pacific pompeyfan Weather Watch 5 2nd July 2018 07:22
Bud - Eastern Pacific pompeyfan Weather Watch 9 16th June 2018 07:21


All times are GMT +1. The time now is 01:35.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.