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Xavier - Eastern Pacific

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  #1  
Old 4th November 2018, 09:51
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Lightbulb Xavier - Eastern Pacific

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Xavier Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP252018
300 AM CST Sun Nov 04 2018

...XAVIER TURNS NORTHWARD...
...HIGH SURF AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 105.9W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 105.9 West. Xavier is
moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the west-
northwest and west are expected tonight and Monday, and Xavier is
then forecast to move westward through mid-week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is expected to begin later today and continue
over the next few days. Xavier is forecast to weaken to a tropical
depression by Monday night, and degenerate into a remnant low
on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Xavier will affect portions of the coast
of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL: Xavier may produce locally heavy rainfall over portions
of southwestern Mexico. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/084053.png
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  #2  
Old 4th November 2018, 18:32
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Xavier Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP252018
900 AM CST Sun Nov 04 2018

...HEAVY RAINS FROM XAVIER SPREADING ONSHORE THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 105.3W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Xavier.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was
located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 105.3 West. Xavier is
moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward the
northwest and west-northwest at a similar forward speed is expected
tonight and on Monday, followed by a westward motion by Tuesday.
On the forecast track, Xavier's center is expected to remain
offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico and begin to move farther
away from the coast tonight and on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Xavier is
expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Xavier is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of
Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco through Monday.

WIND: Gusty winds, especially in squalls, are possible over coastal
sections of the Mexican states of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco
through early Monday.

SURF: Swells generated by Xavier will affect portions of the coast
of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/084053.png
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  #3  
Old 5th November 2018, 08:11
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Xavier Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP252018
1200 AM CST Mon Nov 05 2018

...XAVIER BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 105.8W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula, Mexico

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was
located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 105.8 West. Xavier is
moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn
toward the west-northwest at a similar forward speed is expected
today, followed by a westward motion by Tuesday. On the forecast
track, Xavier's center is expected to remain offshore the coast of
southwestern Mexico and begin to move farther away from the coast
later today.

Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained
winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is
forecast during the next few days, and Xavier is expected to
degenerate into a remnant low on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Xavier is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of
Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco through Monday. Isolated
maximum amounts of 4 inches are possible over Michoacan and Colima.
This rainfall may produce flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area through this morning.

SURF: Swells generated by Xavier will affect portions of the coast
of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.








https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/084053.png
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  #4  
Old 5th November 2018, 19:34
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Xavier Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP252018
1100 AM MST Mon Nov 05 2018

...XAVIER GRADUALLY PULLING AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO...
...HEAVY SHOWERS WINDING DOWN ALONG THE COASTS OF COLIMA AND
JALISCO...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM MST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 106.5W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula, Mexico

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM MST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was
located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 106.5 West. Xavier is
moving a little bit faster toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7
km/h), and an additional increase in forward speed is expected later
today. A westward motion is forecast by early Tuesday, continuing
through Thursday. On the forecast track, Xavier's center is
expected to continue moving farther away from the southwestern coast
of Mexico today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Xavier is
expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Xavier is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of
Colima and Jalisco, with isolated maximum amounts of 4 inches
possible. This rainfall may produce flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are still possible within the
warning area during the next few hours.

SURF: Swells generated by Xavier will affect portions of the coast
of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.








https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/084053.png
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  #5  
Old 5th November 2018, 22:49
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Xavier Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP252018
200 PM MST Mon Nov 05 2018

...XAVIER WEAKENING WHILE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO...
...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 106.9W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was
located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 106.9 West. Xavier is
moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and an
increase in forward speed is expected by tonight. A westward motion
is forecast by early Tuesday, continuing through Thursday. On the
forecast track, Xavier's center will continue moving farther away
from the southwestern coast of Mexico.

Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds
have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional weakening is forecast during the next few days, and
Xavier is expected to degenerate into a remnant low tonight or on
Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Xavier will continue to affect portions
of the coast of southwestern Mexico through tonight and should
subside on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/084053.png
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  #6  
Old 6th November 2018, 08:31
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Final Warning

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Xavier Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP252018
800 PM MST Mon Nov 05 2018

...XAVIER DEGENERATES TO A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 107.5W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Xavier
was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 107.5 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph
(9 km/h). The system is expected to turn toward the west or west-
southwest at about the same forward speed during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Xavier is
expected to become a remnant low by Tuesday evening.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Xavier will continue to affect portions
of the coast of southwestern Mexico this evening and should subside
on Tuesday morning. These swells are likely to cause life-
threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.

For additional information on the post-tropical cyclone please see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.




https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/084053.png
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